South Africa
Southern Africa · SADC · Rand zone
Substantial coverage: 15 draft records, in Cross-border payments and currency, Regional power trade, Transport corridors and border posts. This is not a full account of South Africa's policy; each area says what was read.
Where South Africa's reforms stand
Four tracks per reform. The date is the milestone each status rests on.
| Idea | Legal | Rules | Delivery | Funding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obib–Oranjemund line | Not tracked– | Not tracked– | Unknown · target Jul 2026, outcome not verified | Unknown |
| Six land ports of entry rebuilt | Not tracked– | Not tracked– | Targeted · 2026 | Unknown |
| New wholesale market (SAWEM) | In force · 1 Jan 2025 | Consulted · 26 Aug 2026 | Partly operating · Apr 2026 | Not applicable |
| Independent Transmission Projects | Unknown | Not tracked– | Targeted · 2026, Q2 2027 | Targeted · Q1 2027 |
| Wheeling under existing arrangements | Not tracked– | Unknown | Partly operating · 31 Aug 2026 | Not applicable |
| Open access to freight rail | Not tracked– | In force · 3 Jul 2026 | Targeted · 2027, Q1 2027 | Not applicable |
| Transport Economic Regulator | In force · 1 Apr 2026 | Not tracked– | Targeted · Apr 2027 | Unknown |
| Private participation in ports and rail | Not tracked– | Not tracked– | Partly operating · 1 Jan 2026 | Unknown |
| Capital Flow Management Regulations | Not tracked– | Consulted · 15 May 2026 | Not tracked– | Not tracked– |
Next dated steps
- target later this year or early next year (said 28 April 2026) Construction to begin at some ports "construction will begin later this year or early next year for some ports", with a "phased rollout" over "about a two-to-three-year period" (about three years at Beitbridge and Lebombo)not yet checked by a person
- target Apr 2027 Regulator fully operational "The TER will be fully operational from April 2027"not yet checked by a person
- target the first quarter of 2027 Seven operators to start running "the allocation of 41 slots"; "Seven of the eleven train operating companies (TOCs) allocated slots will commence operations on the" freight rail network "in the first quarter of 2027"not yet checked by a person
- target from the second quarter of 2027 Limited external participants "phased introduction of limited external market participants from the second quarter of 2027"not yet checked by a person
- target Q2 2027 Final transmission RFP "The final RFP is targeted for release in quarter 2 of the 2027 calendar year."wording checked against the document
Target dates passed, outcome not verified
- target Aug 2026 · outcome not verified Final Network Statement with tariff (target) a final Network Statement incorporating industry input and an updated access tariff, targeted for August 2026paraphrase, not a quotation
A target is what a named source says will happen, not a forecast made here.
Steps taken
- 26 Aug 2026 Trading Rules comment period extended "NERSA announced on August 26" that the comment deadline, "initially August 28, 2026", was extended, so that the rules can be reviewed alongside the Electricity Pricing Policynot yet checked by a person
- 12 Aug 2026 Credit Guarantee Vehicle incorporated "The CGV was registered and incorporated on 12 August 2026."wording checked against the document
- 3 Jul 2026 New Network Statement published "A new iteration of the Network Statement was published on 3 July 2026"not yet checked by a person
- 1 Jul 2026 Public hearing on the Market Code the draft market code "received broad support during a public hearing on July 1"wording checked against the document
- 15 May 2026 Comment deadline extended to 30 June 2026 the deadline for public comment was extended from 18 May 2026 to 30 June 2026, "following requests to allow stakeholders additional time to review"; after it, National Treasury and the Reserve Bank will review the comments and revise the draftnot yet checked by a person
- 13 May 2026 Access agreements with 11 train operators TRIM confirmed the agreements at a ceremony in Sandton on 13 May 2026; the operators are ARC South Africa, Barberry, Grindrod, Interlinks, IRACEMA, Menar, Minrail, Motheo Logistics, Sharp Logistics, The Railway Corporation and TLD Marineparaphrase, not a quotation
- 28 Apr 2026 Bidders named for six land ports the Border Management Authority named bidders for Beitbridge and Oshoek (Baobab Concession), Lebombo (Raulux Consortium), Maseru Bridge (Kgorong Consortium), Kopfontein (Kopfontein Consortium) and Ficksburg Bridge (Imbani Consortium)paraphrase, not a quotation
- 17 Apr 2026 Draft Capital Flow Management Regulations published for comment the draft regulations appeared in Government Gazette No. 7375 on 17 April 2026 and would replace the Exchange Control Regulations of 1961; Treasury described a move to a "positive bias" approach, with fewer transactions needing prior approval and more emphasis on reporting and on monitoring high-impact and high-risk transactionsparaphrase, not a quotation
- 1 Apr 2026 Further part of the Act commences Part B of Chapter 4 commenced on 1 April 2026paraphrase, not a quotation
- Apr 2026 SAWEM trading internally "the internal launch of SAWEM, now operating with 32 participants"; internal trading launched in April 2026wording checked against the document
- target Apr 2026 · completed Regulator's board (target) "Operationalise the Transport Economic Regulator (TER) with appointment of Board" (April 2026)not yet checked by a person
- 25 Feb 2026 Market Code submitted to NERSA NTCSA confirmed that "the Market Code was formally submitted to Nersa for approval on February 25."not yet checked by a person
- 1 Jan 2026 Durban Pier 2 concession takes effect "Transnet and International Container Terminal Services Inc (ICTSI) have signed a 25-year agreement"; "Effective from 1 January 2026, the partnership will enable investment of more than R11 billion"not yet checked by a person
- 27 Nov 2025 Market operator licence approved "a series of landmark decisions by the Energy Regulator on 27 November 2025"; "the approval of the Market Operator licence for the NTCSA"wording checked against the document
- Sep 2025 Virtual wheeling in commercial operation the mechanism "moved from agreement to commercial operation in September 2025"; its first year ran "from 1 September 2025 to 31 August 2026"; "Monthly refunds have been processed since November 2025", following Eskom's "reconciliation and confirmation of Vodacom's monthly claims"wording checked against the document
- 1 Apr 2025 Regulator established in law commenced 1 April 2025; s.29(1): "The Transport Economic Regulator is hereby established as an organ of state within the public administration"not yet checked by a person
- 1 Jan 2025 Amendment Act in force the Act commenced on 1 January 2025, except the section 1 amendments to the definitions of "reticulation" and "distribution power systems", which await a later proclamationparaphrase, not a quotation
- 6 Jun 2024 Economic Regulation of Transport Act assented assented to on 6 June 2024; published 11 June 2024 in Government Gazette 50799paraphrase, not a quotation
What depends on neighbours
Blockers linked to a recorded dependency between South Africa and another jurisdiction.
Namibia freezes new generation licences for export
No source read says which project would lift the constraint, or names the South African lines that limit exports.
Outages on transit routes affect trade between other countries
No source read proposes a remedy.
Truck crossings at Beitbridge took about two days on average in one week of July 2026
Expected to be relieved by Six land ports of entry rebuilt, in the view of Border Management Authority.
Shared with neighbours
Blockers that name South Africa and another jurisdiction, with no recorded dependency between them. A shared stage is not a shared cause.
Institutions named in the records
- BankservAfrica · Infrastructure operator
- Border Management Authority · Border agency
- Development Bank of Southern Africa · Development finance
- Eskom · Utility
- National Energy Regulator of South Africa · Regulator
- National Transmission Company South Africa · Utility
- South African Reserve Bank · Central bank
- Transport Economic Regulator · Regulator
- Transnet · Infrastructure operator
- Transnet Rail Infrastructure Manager · Infrastructure operator
- Department of Electricity and Energy · Ministry
- Department of Transport · Ministry
- Municipalities · Local government
- The Presidency · Presidency
- National Treasury · Finance ministry or treasury
Constraints observed
- Cahora Bassa's sales by customer, 2023 and 2024 · Constraint (observed)
- Mozal aluminium smelter placed on care and maintenance for want of power, March 2026 · Constraint (event)
- Kokerboom substation fault and Aries-Kokerboom maintenance, October 2026 · Constraint (event)
- NamPower network outages, 11 and 13 November 2025 · Constraint (event)
- Planned outages on the Caprivi Link (Gerus-Zambezi HVDC), November 2025 to July 2026 · Constraint (event)
- Freight clearance and crossing times at Beitbridge, two observations 2025-26 · Constraint (observed)
Operation Vulindlela
The Presidency and National Treasury. Its progress reports are cited by Six land ports of entry rebuilt, New wholesale market (SAWEM), Open access to freight rail, Transport Economic Regulator, Private participation in ports and rail. The records here date the legal, rules, delivery and funding steps separately and add the neighbours' side.
Electricity in South Africa, 2000 to 2025
In 2025, generation in South Africa was 243 TWh, 81% of it from coal, against 211 TWh in 2000. Installed capacity was 70 GW. No record or status on this site rests on these figures.
What this does not establish. Generation is counted where the electricity is produced. Imports and exports are not shown, so a country's generation is not the electricity its economy uses. Ember's figures are not reconciled with the figures in the records, which come from national sources with their own definitions and periods. Generation and capacity are different quantities and are drawn as separate charts.
Source: Ember, Yearly electricity data (full release), read 2026-10-25, licensed CC BY 4.0. Fuels grouped here; copied from laurencehw/african-economic-future, _data/ember/ at commit cf0853a (26 October 2026), unchanged.
The figures, every five years
| 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Generation (TWh) | ||||||
| Coal | 196 | 232 | 243 | 227 | 214 | 198 |
| Gas and other fossil | 0 | 0.09 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Nuclear | 13 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 9.9 | 10 |
| Hydro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.73 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Wind and solar | 0 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 5.5 | 13 | 31 |
| Bioenergy and other renewables | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| Total | 211 | 245 | 260 | 250 | 241 | 243 |
| Capacity (GW) | ||||||
| Coal | 38 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 45 | 47 |
| Gas and other fossil | 0.34 | 0.34 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Nuclear | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Hydro | 1.0 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Wind and solar | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 16 |
| Bioenergy and other renewables | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Total | 42 | 42 | 44 | 48 | 58 | 70 |